Since its launch in January, Trump’s infamous memecoin has become a form of political expression among crypto investors. Meanwhile, Melania Token experiences a completely different fate and appears to have no hope of a return anytime soon.
According to Fintech’s lawyer Burçakünsal, Trump and Melania are speculative and lacking in usefulness. However, the value of the Trump Coin is directly linked to political events. This dynamic can change as Trump merges with other projects and gains usefulness and stability.
From Peak to Plummet: How Trump trades in political news
Like most memecoin launches, Trump’s price trajectory is marked by its sharp volatility and disappointing performance. But despite other launches, it is also highly politicized. In fact, its trading activities still serve as an indicator of investors’ feelings about political events.
The token, released in January, saw an explosive rise and surged to an all-time high of $75, following Trump’s approval. After a sudden decline, trading activities reignited in response to events closely related to the president.
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For example, in April, the coin price jumped over 50% following the announcement that the top holder would be invited to a private dinner with the president and a special VIP White House tour.
It also fell sharply to an all-time low when Trump announced a string of trade tariffs and a feud broke out between President and Elon Musk.
The recent launch and transaction of the Trump family’s independent crypto project, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), also affected the market, increasing the value of Trump after the Nasdaq Bell-Ringing ceremony in August.
With Trump barely a year in presidency, it will be interesting to see what the future holds for his memecoin.
Why Trump has a slight edge to Melania
The Trump and Melania meme coins share similar, highly unstable priced history. They were launched as a political project just before Trump took office. While insiders saw a big return, many retail investors later experienced big losses.
Trump branched out as a tool to measure acceptability to political events, but the coin remains speculative.
“Trump is not just a digital asset, it’s a politically accused statement. Its value is deeply tied to Trump’s public status and the media spotlight he attracts. But this is also why Trump’s price movements are almost completely tied together.
Coins have not evolved into payment systems, infrastructure tokens, or governance mechanisms, limiting their broad functional relevance.
So far, its main purpose has been to symbolic ownership, contributions like donations, or exclusive access to events such as NFT tying.
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On the other hand, the statistical odds for Melania of meaningful recovery are almost nonexistent.
“Melania has dropped from $12,76 to $0,20. The 98% meltdown added a misuse of around $30 million in community funds, trading insider wallets before the announcement, thin, unique holder growth, limited practicality and a severely reputed overhan.
Based on this outlook, he believes that a genuine turnaround is unlikely as it calls for transparent governance reforms and proven usefulness.
Without these conditions, potential gatherings could be a short, fluidity-driven event with momentum and lack the foundation of lasting momentum.
Future results may support the Trump token. The Trump token holds stronger odds than Melania matures into something more meaningful.
The road ahead of Trump
Trump’s second administration has created a significantly more code-friendly environment. Enforcement from the SEC softened, famous lawsuits against Coinbase and Binance stalled, and even a Bitmex-linked pardon.
Furthermore, establishing strategic Bitcoin reserves and federal digital asset stockpile lends legitimacy to the sector and demonstrates a broader acceptance of cryptocurrency.
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According to Yunsal, this combination of deregulation momentum and institutional perception forms the context of policies that could directly affect Trump’s trajectory over the coming years.
“This policy context creates a positive background for Trump, especially during the window of increasing mainstream perception of crypto assets,” he said.
Still, coins face structural risks. Releases with remaining Trump supply scheduled for the next three years could saturate the market if demand does not match. Larger holders may further amplify volatility through concentrated buying and selling.
Regarding potential benefits, Yunsal highlighted the way sustained deregulation trends and symbolic visibility stabilize the token.
“If the current deregulation stance is maintained and the coin gets its semi-maximum sheen, Trump can also be stable or rebound,” he added.
He framed the next stage as essentially tied to political and media dynamics.
“The next 12-24 months of Trump Coin will be a roller coaster deeply tied to political manipulation, the policy environment and media optics.
The policy tail can shape short-term sentiment, but Trump’s long-term sustainability depends on more than regulations and the media cycle.
Utility as a missing piece for longevity
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Analysts generally agree that the persistent value of crypto requires clear utility, ecosystem integration, supply and demand stability mechanisms, and regulatory clarity. Yunsal pointed out that Trump lacks utility and integration within a broader application or real-world assets.
However, this picture could change if the president integrates his meme token with other existing cryptographic projects. Yunsal used truth.fi as an example.
“If Truth.fi integrates Trump natively, it changes the role of the coin from a speculative side project to a core loyalty (and) identity token,” he said.
Such integrations allow cards to be pinned to politically aligned user base numbers of tens of millions. In this context, holders may treat the coin as a form of ideological expression and financial participation.
“This narrative change could translate hype traders into sticky owners, which naturally reduces volatility,” adds ünsal, “Trump () could become a networked political currency, not a meme token that floats in vinance.”
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In this scenario, the coin’s baseline moves from hype-driven speculation to politicized participation, adding a stabilisation element that many overlook.
What does Trump need to mature?
Trump Memecoin has stood at the intersection of politics and code for longer than many of its peers. Its value reflects political recognition and media attention more than its inherent usefulness, making it unique and speculative. Melania’s collapse identifies the risk of tokens without governance or integration.
Trump’s second administration created the background to his support policy. Some argue that integration with platforms like Truth.fi will help stabilize demand, but such scenarios remain purely hypothetical.
Without concrete usefulness, wider adoption, and a mechanism to balance supply and demand, Trump’s prices are tied to politics rather than basic.
That outlook is conditional. Future possibilities exist, but sustainability depends on moving beyond the hype.
